Dear Prime Minister
Many, many congratulations. Thanks to untiring
efforts of your party and the Samajwadi Party, you
have finally succeeded in getting the monkey off
your back. The Left with their self-seeking “support
from outside” had emasculated you and the UPA for
four long years. Finally, you have shown Comrades
Karat, Bardhan and their ilk the door. For many of
us, the happiness of seeing them lose the confidence
motion was the greatest satisfaction of it all.
So, you and your team now have earned their second
life — albeit late in the innings. The question in
everyone’s mind is, shorn of the Left baggage, what
will you do during the next seven to eight months?
Hope springs eternal. English language scribes have
been salivating at the idea of your packing in the
next six months all the economic reforms that you
couldn’t initiate in the last four years. They would
have you increase foreign direct investment (FDI) in
insurance to at least 49 per cent; pass the pensions
bill; raise FDI in banking and eliminate the 10 per
cent cap; create greater flexibility in the use of
contract labour; and much more.
I, too, wish all of these would happen. But,
somehow, I doubt their political possibility. More
importantly, given the short time that is left
between now and the elections, I wonder whether
political capital should be further expended in
pushing things that require painful and injurious
legislative assent.
Lest I be labelled as a ‘pinko’, let me explain what
I mean. From a political perspective, there are two
main priorities: the first is to somehow get
inflation under control under your helm, and to do
so in a calm, sensible and communicable manner; and
the second is to strengthen the Congress Party’s and
its allies’ hands to fare much better in the next
general elections. Both are gargantuan tasks. I
wonder, therefore, how much would you like further
stretch your party’s goodwill to pilot a series of
bills in a fractious Parliament — however important
these may be to us liberalisers.
The Left is smarting with this defeat. Ideally, the
party should be doing some serious introspection
about the monumental intransigence of its leader who
won his last (an only?) election at the Jawaharlal
Nehru University. But it won’t. Comrade Karat will
remain where he is, even more grim, sullen and
stubborn than before, and do everything he can to
embarrass you every step of the way. He is not the
only one. Joined in resentment is Mr. L.K. Advani,
who saw defeat being snatched from what he thought
was the jaws of victory. And there is the
redoubtable Ms Mayawati who will do all that she can
to fracture the ruling dispensation and cobble
opportunistic alliances to satisfy a single-point
agenda: her becoming the prime minister in 2009.
The UPA has beaten them this time around. But do you
want to repeatedly confront them head on over the
next six months? Instead of allowing your party
leader to create the space to win more seats in the
2009 general election?
That doesn’t mean doing nothing. There are a slew of
reforms that can be executed through administrative
action, without legislative assent. Here’s one:
systematic divestment of government shares in many
inessential public sector undertakings, or those
which are actually run by the private sector but
with residual shares being held by government.
Nothing great, the critic may say. Yet these would
not only show that reforms are on track, but also
yield much needed revenue.
Here’s my two paisa bit. Do as much reforms as
possible without jeopardising the chances to build
essential alliances for 2009. If the Congress can
win 150-160 seats next time around, it has a serious
chance of forming a workable government. That’s will
require Mrs. Sonia Gandhi to work overtime from the
morning after the trust vote. If, however, Congress
wins less than 120 seats, a long and disparate tail
will hitch itself with the other party. That’s not
what you want — especially if you want to continue
doing the reforms that matter.
Winning this vote is like passing Class 11 with
distinction. Creditable, but of no consequence if
one fails to secure the requisite marks in the Class
12 board exams. So, please do all that is needed
with the Class 12 exam in mind, instead of spreading
joy to the pink paper scribes and galloping into the
sunset. The time is short.
Finally, hats off to Somnath Chatterjee. He deserves
kudos from all right thinking citizens for showing
that his constitutional responsibility mattered more
for the propriety of this nation than playing
partisan politics. How we wish there were more of
him!
Published: Business Standard, July 2008